By next Saturday, playoff chaos and Charlie Strong's seat will heat up
Some things we'll be obsessing about all week
1. Louisville could be the selection committee's worst nightmare
We're barely into October and we already have the absolutely worst
scenario for the College Football Playoff selection committee. If
Alabama (SEC), Washington (Pac-12), Clemson (ACC), Ohio State or
Michigan (Big Ten) and Baylor (Big 12)
each win their respective league title with only one loss and then
Louisville finishes 11-1 with wins against Florida State and Houston and
a pulsating 42-36 loss at Clemson, what in the world will the committee
members do?
Six teams with six legitimate arguments to get into the four-team
playoff. The committee prefers conference champions, but if any of the
conference champions are not undefeated, how can they exclude an 11-1
Louisville team with the planet's most exciting player? They can't. Can
they?
The selection committee got off easy the first two years. This season,
the committee will finally be tested, and we will see if it truly values
strength of schedule, which it has said is such an important component.
2.?Big D result could be a Big Deal to Strong
Texas and Oklahoma meet Saturday in the Cotton Bowl.
It's one of the top rivalries in sports. Call it the Red River Shootout
(or if you prefer, the politically correct Red River Rivalry). Or for
the second consecutive season, call it the Charlie Strong Desperately
Needs A Win Bowl.
Last season, Texas limped into Dallas with a 1-4 record and speculation
swirling about Strong's future in Austin. UT pulled off the upset as the
Longhorns lifted Strong in the air, body-surfing above the Cotton Bowl
turf.
It played a big part in Strong earning a third year at UT. Year 3 is now
four games old, and the Longhorns, once again, need a Strong effort in
Dallas. This year is different, but similar to last year. The offense
has showed life, but the defense has been non-existent except for a rout
of UTEP. Texas (2-2) allowed 47 points in a double-overtime loss to
Notre Dame (only 37 in regulation), 50 to Cal and 49 to Oklahoma State.
I'd compare Texas' defense to a flag football team, but I don't want to
insult any flag football players out there. Unlike LSU's dismissal of
Les Miles, a source told me it's doubtful Strong would get fired in-season.
However, the source also said Saturday's game with Oklahoma could be
critical to determine if there will be a Year 4 in Austin for Strong.
Most likely, the defensive staff gets sacrificed at year's end for
Strong to return in 2018.
After the loss at Oklahoma State, Texas athletic director Mike Perrin
told ESPN.com's Jake Trotter: "I'm not evaluating Charlie per se. I'm
evaluating everything." Perrin didn't say it, but the main thing UT fans
are evaluating is whether the Longhorns can land Houston's Tom Herman.
3. Blood, sweat and hoops
If Saturday's first game as head coaches between Georgia's Kirby Smart
and South Carolina's Will Muschamp lives up to their legendary pickup
basketball games, bring some popcorn.
When the coaches were assistants at Valdosta State in 2000 -- Muschamp
was defensive coordinator, Smart coached the defensive backs -- they
routinely went against each other on the basketball court. It wasn't for
the weak or the faint of heart.
"We did play a lot of basketball games, and within those basketball
games, it was not unusual to walk out of there with a bloody nose, black
eye, a bad ankle and a sore back because there were no fouls called,"
Muschamp said.
Smart lights up when he recalls the day Muschamp "threw the ball down
and ran out" of the gym. "I thought, 'Jeez, he's pissed,' " Smart said.
Muschamp disputes that version. "That story is not entirely accurate,"
Muschamp said. "He's trying to refer to just one day."
Smart said, "what [Muschamp] never tells anybody is later that day we
played a pickup basketball game, and me and coach [Chris] Hatcher beat
his eyes out and he ran out of the gym mad. I want to make sure I got
that out there. [Muschamp] left the gym and we never saw him for like
four more hours because we beat him to the mercy rule in basketball."
Although very close friends, neither coach likely will show any mercy
against each other Saturday in Columbia, South Carolina. Such is life in
the SEC.
4.?And in this week's Coach on the Hot Seat matchup ...
Vanderbilt at Kentucky could not only determine who finishes in the SEC
East cellar, but also whether Mark Stoops or Derrick Mason make it to
next season.
Both teams are 2-3. Both teams will likely be underdogs in their
remaining five SEC contests. Their only sure wins would appear to be FCS
opponents: Kentucky hosts Austin Peay and Vanderbilt hosts Tennessee
State.
Neither coach has been to a bowl game at their respective schools and
the chances for either to get to a bowl game this year are not trending
up.
Stoops is 14-27 in four years in Lexington. Mason is 9-20 in three years
in Lexington. In the high-pressure SEC, there might not be a bigger
game than this contest between perennial SEC East cellar dwellers.
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